StratLab · IVAAN
Daily Market Intelligence · No. 68 — Tuesday 14 Jul 2026

The Session Brief · NSE · Data through close

One theme moved; everything else watched.

NIFTY closed at 24,052.05 (-0.66%). Same-day clusters on elevated volume mark where positioning is actually changing, regardless of what the index did.

Nifty Close
24,052.05 −0.66%
Regime
BULL · 0.82
Adv / Dec
118 / 380
FII Cash
−₹740 Cr
Net Gamma
−19.4k
Range
24,050–24,100
NIFTY, twenty-two sessions to 14 Jul (line) · daily advance–decline net, NIFTY500 (bars) · Source: IVAAN
Executive snapshotread time ~4 min

The regime is BULL at 0.82 confidence. 4 names broke together on volume — the day's coordinated move. Same-day clusters on elevated volume mark where positioning is actually changing, regardless of what the index did.

24,100call wall · 30.6M CE
24,052.05today’s close
24,050put base · 28.1M PE
What changed todayranked by significance
1

4 names broke together on volume — the day's coordinated move.

Why it matters: Same-day clusters on elevated volume mark where positioning is actually changing, regardless of what the index did.

NEWGEN -6.1% (2.0×) · THERMAX -6.1% (1.9×) · HCLTECH -4.5% (2.0×) · UTIAMC -4.1% (1.7×)
●●●Confidence high — same-day cluster on elevated volume
Trend ledger22 sessions · today / 5d / 20d
Market internalsdo they confirm the move?
Advance / Decline
118 / 380
Net -262 on a down day. Confirms.
IVAAN Breadth
48.9%
of NIFTY500 in bullish posture — 53th percentile of the year.
New 52w Highs / Lows
17 / 4
Highs lead lows.
Delivery Breadth
53.3%
up from 51.5% yesterday.

Internals verdictThe panels above are measurement, not narrative — advance/decline and delivery are the two to re-check tomorrow.

Institutional participationcash · futures
Cash market, net ₹ Cr

FII = foreign portfolio investors; DII = banks, insurers, mutual funds, AIF and PMS combined. Settled NSE data; the latest session may be provisional.

FII net index futures — 20 sessions ('000 contracts)

Net -265,465 — the 4th percentile of the trailing year (range -279,467 to -87,170).

Flow verdictFlows as measured; read them against the futures positioning percentile.

Options intelligence14-Jul expiry
Open interest, near-money (contracts, M)
Dealer & sentiment dashboard
PCR, near-money1.09vs 1.36 prior session
IV, near-money≈18%one-month range 3–18%
Net gamma−19.4kAcceleration Risk
Sentiment (DSS)
Expected range24,050–24,100wall to wall

Derivatives verdictPositioning as measured against the walls above.

Sector rotation1-day (bar) · 5d · 20d
Sector1d5d20d
Pharma
+1.03+0.89+6.97
Healthcare
+0.89+0.60+6.15
Metals
+0.61+0.75−3.10
Commodities
+0.20−0.46−1.60
Energy
−0.04+0.04−0.74
CPSE
−0.23−0.30−0.05
Media
−0.31+1.60+1.69
Infra
−0.32−1.09−0.21
Consumption
−0.48−2.21+1.65
FMCG
−0.58−3.39−1.06
NIFTY
−0.66−1.42+0.83
Pvt Bank
−0.85−1.38+0.38
IT
−1.00+2.81+2.34
FinNifty
−1.12−1.66+1.00
BankNifty
−1.15−1.27+0.46
Auto
−1.61−2.91−1.59
PSU Bank
−1.80+0.12−3.19
Realty
−1.97+2.92+14.82

Sector model: 10 of 17 states CONFIRMED_BULL, 7 divergent, 0 bearish.

Leadershipstatistically meaningful prints only
Accumulation signature
StockReturnVol ×20dDelivery
CONCOR+6.3%7.8×31% vs 52
WELCORP+3.9%3.6×43% vs 49
DIVISLAB+3.6%3.2×40% vs 58
SBICARD+3.3%5.7×51% vs 40

Price, volume and delivery together — the prints most consistent with institutional building.

Distribution signature
StockReturnVol ×20dDelivery
AEGISVOPAK−7.5%1.2×37% vs 35
NEWGEN−6.1%2.0×16% vs 28
THERMAX−6.1%1.9×48% vs 48
WELSPUNLIV−5.5%0.8×44% vs 40
AEGISLOG−5.5%0.5×28% vs 22

Declines on elevated volume; high delivered percentages mark conviction selling rather than derivative noise.

Contexthow unusual is today?
IVAAN Breadth Index53th percentile of the trailing year
53th
FII index-futures positioningnet -265,465 · year range -279,467 to -87,170
4.5th
Implied volatility, near-money≈18% — 100th percentile of the past month
100th
Turnover vs 20-day average0.91× — unremarkable volume
41th
New 52-week highs17 highs vs 4 lows today
34th

Most percentile measures sit mid-range today.

Next session's playbookobservations, not recommendations
1

24,050 is the level that matters below.

The heaviest near-money put base (28.1M contracts) sits there; acceptance below it changes the range.

WATCH — first-hour behaviour at 24,050, put OI at that strike
2

24,100 caps the move until it doesn't.

The call wall holds 30.6M contracts. A close above forces it to migrate; a fade there is the base case.

WATCH — call OI at 24,100: build = cap, unwind = release
3

Dealer gamma sets the day's texture.

Net gamma -19,412 (Acceleration Risk). Positive dampens swings, negative amplifies them.

WATCH — net gamma sign at close
4

Participation has to match price.

Advance/decline closed 118/380. Two consecutive contradictions of the index direction is the early warning.

WATCH — A/D net, delivery breadth
5

Follow the futures positioning, not the headlines.

FII net index futures at -265,465 — 4th percentile of the year. Direction of change matters more than level.

WATCH — FII net index futures vs today, evening cash provisional
Compiled from 215M+ observations · IVAAN, StratLab's market context engine
Method notes. Breadth figures are the IVAAN Breadth Index, a proprietary composite measured across the NIFTY500. Advance/decline and 52-week extremes computed on the same universe. Options metrics are near-money captures for the nearest expiry — consistent day-over-day, not full-chain. FII/DII cash is NSE settled category turnover (T+2); the most recent session may use the combined provisional feed. Dealer gamma from IVAAN positioning aggregates at the end-of-day snapshot. Percentiles vs the trailing 252 sessions unless stated. This brief is market observation, not investment advice.