Market Pulse by Vish
Neutral regime — reduce exposure, trade thinner, wait for clarity.
NIFTY closed at 24,176 (+0.34%) with max pain at 23,850; MA structure reveals SMA5 (24,039) crossing above SMA50 (23,849) while SMA20 (23,644) trails below, confirming price leading trend. Institutional flow shows FII futures net short -228,561 contracts against DII net long +67,254, with GEX at ₹175Cr in the dealer pin zone and PCR at 0.83. Global headwind stems from DXY’s 1.27% rise over 20 days and a global score of 0, even as sectors like Media, Pvt Banks, and Realty lead while IT and CPSE decline. Despite the bull regime, the neutral headline dictates reducing exposure, trading thinner, and waiting for clarity.
▲ Shorts easing
▲ Steady buying
PCR 0.83 — bearish lean. GEX 175 Cr. Gamma walls: upper 23,850 (CE), lower 23,800 (PE).
BEAR MIXED. Institutional positioning signals directional intent in the dominant vector.
▲ Expanding — broad market
▲ Large caps bullish
FII are net short ₹2.29L while DII absorbed +67K — a 3:1 institutional divergence with no clear resolution.
23,850 — CE wall / gamma pin.
23,800 — PE wall. Close below triggers dealer selling.
23,849 — SMA50. First structural support.
23,644 — SMA20. Medium-term confirmation.
MA stack: SMA5 (24,039) / SMA20 (23,644) / SMA50 (23,849) — MA20 < MA50 < MA5.
Neutral — stock-specific alpha. Focus on CONVAIR LEADING signals only.
ATM net vector -1.56. ITM -3.48 confirms bearish positioning.
Bearish — hedge or exit.
| Fusion | rvol | 20D | MA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GVT&DCapital Goods | 8.06 | 3.1× | +11.5% | ▲▲ LEADING |
| ABSLAMCFinancial Services | 7.6 | 2.4× | +19.5% | ▲▲ LEADING |
| SOLARINDSChemicals | 7.45 | 1.4× | -1.4% | ▲▲ LEADING |
| AIAENGCapital Goods | 7.25 | 4.0× | +17.9% | ▲▲ LEADING |
| CARTRADEConsumer Services | 7.2 | 4.7× | +55.1% | ▲▲ LEADING |
Confirm entries with rvol > 1.5×. All signals require dual-timeframe MA alignment.
1=best performer · Nifty highlighted
2/4 of SPX/NDX/DAX/NKY positive 20D. DXY 20D return: +1.27%.
Global score +0 (Neutral). Macro neutral — follow domestic signals.